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The Application of Grey System Model in AIDS Prevention and Control in Yunnan Province of China

Received: 7 April 2016     Published: 8 April 2016
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Abstract

Yunnan province is one of the most serious regions of HIV/AIDS epidemic in China. By October 31, 2015, total 29652 AIDS patients, 23316 deaths. Using the gray system model to predict the HIV/AIDS epidemic situation is a beneficial attempt. We can apply mathematical model in the study of this epidemic, managing to find its regularity and to predict its trend. Through the analysis of HIV/AIDS epidemic, we can lay a solid foundation for further research and work on AIDS prevention and control, and provide a reference basis for prevention strategies and countermeasures.

Published in Science Innovation (Volume 4, Issue 2)
DOI 10.11648/j.si.20160402.13
Page(s) 40-44
Creative Commons

This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, provided the original work is properly cited.

Copyright

Copyright © The Author(s), 2016. Published by Science Publishing Group

Keywords

Grey System Model, AIDS, Prevention and Control

References
[1] 陆林.云南艾滋病流行20年.[J].昆明医科大学学报2013,(6):1-4
[2] 陈东等.我国艾滋病疫情发展趋势预测的防控措施分析[J].中国公共卫生管理2013,(1):3-7
[3] 肖民扬等.云南省艾滋病病毒感染者和艾滋病患者的高危行为影响因素分析[J].中华疾病控制杂志2013,(12):1021-1024
[4] 安晓静等.云南省艾滋病综合管理对相关服务可及性的影响分析[J].中国艾滋病性病2013,(2):134-137
[5] GM(1,1)模型在预测云南省艾滋病病毒(HIV)感染者上的应用研究.[J].云南大学学报(自然科学版)2008,30(S1):452-455
[6] 邓聚龙.灰色系统基本方法[M].武汉:华中科技大学出版社,2004:2
[7] 刘思峰,党耀国,方志耕.《灰色系统理论及其应用》[M](第三版)科学出版社,2007年1月:164
[8] 云南疾控资讯网,http://www.yncdc.cn
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[11] 今年1-10月云南新增染艾患者9768例.春城晚报A042015、12、1
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[13] 今日数据.春城晚报A042015、12、1
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  • APA Style

    Yang Baiyun. (2016). The Application of Grey System Model in AIDS Prevention and Control in Yunnan Province of China. Science Innovation, 4(2), 40-44. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.si.20160402.13

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    ACS Style

    Yang Baiyun. The Application of Grey System Model in AIDS Prevention and Control in Yunnan Province of China. Sci. Innov. 2016, 4(2), 40-44. doi: 10.11648/j.si.20160402.13

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    AMA Style

    Yang Baiyun. The Application of Grey System Model in AIDS Prevention and Control in Yunnan Province of China. Sci Innov. 2016;4(2):40-44. doi: 10.11648/j.si.20160402.13

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  • @article{10.11648/j.si.20160402.13,
      author = {Yang Baiyun},
      title = {The Application of Grey System Model in AIDS Prevention and Control in Yunnan Province of China},
      journal = {Science Innovation},
      volume = {4},
      number = {2},
      pages = {40-44},
      doi = {10.11648/j.si.20160402.13},
      url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.si.20160402.13},
      eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.si.20160402.13},
      abstract = {Yunnan province is one of the most serious regions of HIV/AIDS epidemic in China. By October 31, 2015, total 29652 AIDS patients, 23316 deaths. Using the gray system model to predict the HIV/AIDS epidemic situation is a beneficial attempt. We can apply mathematical model in the study of this epidemic, managing to find its regularity and to predict its trend. Through the analysis of HIV/AIDS epidemic, we can lay a solid foundation for further research and work on AIDS prevention and control, and provide a reference basis for prevention strategies and countermeasures.},
     year = {2016}
    }
    

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    T1  - The Application of Grey System Model in AIDS Prevention and Control in Yunnan Province of China
    AU  - Yang Baiyun
    Y1  - 2016/04/08
    PY  - 2016
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    AB  - Yunnan province is one of the most serious regions of HIV/AIDS epidemic in China. By October 31, 2015, total 29652 AIDS patients, 23316 deaths. Using the gray system model to predict the HIV/AIDS epidemic situation is a beneficial attempt. We can apply mathematical model in the study of this epidemic, managing to find its regularity and to predict its trend. Through the analysis of HIV/AIDS epidemic, we can lay a solid foundation for further research and work on AIDS prevention and control, and provide a reference basis for prevention strategies and countermeasures.
    VL  - 4
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    ER  - 

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Author Information
  • Yunnan Police College School of Information Network Security, Kunming ,Yunnan, China

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